Bayesian reasoning in avalanche terrain: a theoretical investigation     

Philip A. Ebert 《Journal of Adventure Education & Outdoor Learning》2019,19(1):84-95

In this article, I explore a Bayesian approach to avalanche decision-making. I motivate this perspective by highlighting a version of the base-rate fallacy and show that a similar pattern applies to decision-making in avalanche-terrain. I then draw out three theoretical lessons from adopting a Bayesian approach and discuss these lessons critically. Lastly, I highlight a number of challenges for avalanche educators when incorporating the Bayesian perspective in their curriculum.  相似文献   

体育文化交流对中美关系改善的作用及启示——基于中美建交40年的历史考察     

肖焕禹  倪京帅 《武汉体育学院学报》2019,53(10):12-18

运用文献资料等研究方法，基于"契机-轨迹"理论，对中美建交40年来体育文化交流情况进行了回顾和梳理，分析了外交政策导向下中美体育文化交流"契机"的形成和"轨迹"的发展，解读中美建交的历史背景和体育文化交流的特征与价值。认为：在"和平与发展""构建开放合作和谐社会""新时代构建新型国际关系"外交政策的影响下，中美体育文化交流具有体育文化财富的共享性、体育竞技的对等性、体育文化交流的公共性特征；中美体育文化交流促进中美建交，促进中美和平发展；改变世界格局，获得话语权；树立国家形象，展示大国责任；深化体育改革，促进社会发展。  相似文献   

Contemporary school knowledge democracy: possible meanings,promising perspectives and necessary prerequisites     

Eleni Katsarou  Konstantinos Sipitanos 《Educational Action Research》2019,27(1):108-124

ABSTRACT

The basic aim of this paper is to discuss the concept ‘Knowledge Democracy’ (KD) and what it can mean in the school context, its implications on knowledge production and dissemination and on the educational practices. We try to enrich this discussion by presenting action research projects to provide case studies of how thinking about KD can reshape educational practice. We consider that the discussion on KD has to be enriched as the concept seems very promising with good prospects towards school’s democratization. On the other hand, as it is quite new, it can encompass internal contradictions that can cause problems at the level of practice. So, we consider very important any contribution to this discussion not as another theoretical sample of the debate on the ‘politics of knowledge’, but because any improvement at the thinking of the issue can be reflected on school practices. Any challenge to traditional politics of knowledge can lead to a deeper understanding of the world of schooling and to transformations through new discourses and new approaches to teaching and learning in school.  相似文献   

对韩国文献太极拳理论研究的计量学分析*     

焦〓春  李爱增 《广州体育学院学报》2019,(1):60-64

太极拳是我国首批非物质文化遗产，作为中国传统民族特色的文化形态，近年来也越来越受到世界各国人民的喜爱，在世界范围内影响广泛、传播迅速。通过对韩国学术界的太极拳文献进行计量学统计分析，着重分析了文献的发表时间、作者、发行单位、研究主题和研究方法，旨在研究太极拳在韩国的发展史和传播过程，从社会学、文化学、体育学、传播学等角度，探索太极拳在异国推广和传播的规律及有效的推广方法，以期太极拳在世界大舞台上发扬光大，将太极拳的正能量传播到世界的各个角落。  相似文献   

Rethinking participation in the Aarhus as European Capital of Culture 2017 project     

Leila Jancovich  Louise Ejgod Hansen 《Cultural Trends》2018,27(3):173-186

This paper examines the relationship between cultural participation and regional development with reference to the European Capital of Culture in 2017. From the bidding stage, Aarhus 2017 claimed it put “participation” at the heart of its strategic plans, through consultation at roadshows and exhibitions. In addition, it aspired to use culture as a catalyst for development not only in the city of Aarhus but across the region of Central Denmark. This paper, therefore, examines how participation is defined and implemented to address regional development in the Aarhus 2017 process through textual analysis of documentation from Aarhus 2017 and delivery partners as well as over 20 interviews with managers and participants involved in a range of 2017 projects. The paper argues against the common prioritisation of urban and professional cultural institutions and makes the case for decentralised cultural provision that supports both amateurs and professionals through a regional networked structure.  相似文献   

Comfort assessment of running footwear: Does assessment type affect inter-session reliability?     

Julia Lindorfer  Josef Kröll  Hermann Schwameder 《European Journal of Sport Science》2019,19(2):177-185

Assessing comfort of running footwear reliably is challenging. The purpose of this study was to compare the intra-rater reliability between different assessment types, to calculate intra-individual reliability scores and to evaluate the effect of rater selection based on individual reliability scores on group level reliability. Three assessment types: ranking, Visual Analogue Scale (VAS), and Likert Scale (LS) were provided twice in six separate sessions among 30 participants, who assessed comfort of five shoes after treadmill running. Spearman's rho provided an evaluation of inter-session relative reliability and typical error as a measure of absolute reliability for each assessment type. Ranking (r?=?0.70, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.61–0.78) yielded the highest relative reliability for overall comfort, followed by VAS (r?=?0.67, 95% CI 0.56–0.75) and LS (r?=?0.63, 95% CI 0.52–0.72), with large-scale overlaps of CIs between assessment types. The same order of assessment types was found for the percentage of reliable raters (r?≥?0.7) with 60% in ranking scale, 47% in VAS and 37% in LS. Forming subgroups corresponding to the intra-individual reliability substantially increased group level reliabilities. Based on measures of relative reliability, an extreme reduction in resolution as provided by the ranking from pairwise comparisons seems to be a valuable tool in footwear comfort assessments if assessment time is of minor importance. No preference can be provided for the two investigated rating scales. Besides the assessment type, a selection of the best raters in additional reliability checks seems to be a prerequisite for further comfort-related studies.  相似文献   

我国警察体育研究的基本现状研究* ——基于Bibexcel的文献计量与可视化分析     

林〓通  姬艳涛  王〓犇 《广州体育学院学报》2019,(5):59-62

首先对中国知网数据库中收录的以警察体育为主题的文献时序分布进行梳理，通过论文发表时间与数量的变量关系对比，分析揭示该研究领域的历史脉络、发展速度以及演变规律。随后利用信息可视化软件Bibexcel绘制出警察体育研究领域的核心作者、研究机构、高被引文献的知识图谱,阐释该领域的研究结构、力量分布以及合作平台建设等情况。最后运用词频分析、共词聚类和可视化法生成关键词共现网络图谱，挖掘、提炼文献数据背后的规律与逻辑，捕捉警察体育研究领域中的研究热点和前沿动态，并在此基础上深入探讨警察体育未来研究的基本趋势和发展方向。  相似文献   

短道速滑个人项目体力分配策略研究          下载免费PDF全文

袁国庆  李文敏  黄佳儒  杨扬  郭立涛  朱永博 《体育科研》2019,(3):2-7

目的：探析短道速滑个人项目两届冬奥会及冬奥会与世锦赛体力分配策略规律差异。方法：收集整理索契、平昌冬奥会，以及2014—2017年世锦赛短道速滑个人项目相关数据，分析单圈用时、肯德尔相关系数。结果：（1）冬奥会各单项单圈用时不同程度地少于世锦赛，平昌不同程度地少于索契；（2）除2016世锦赛500 m，其他赛事均全程具有显著相关（P＜0.05）；（3）除索契冬奥会女子1 000 m，其他赛事均较早出现显著相关（P＜0.05），平昌冬奥会男子与女子均在第7、8圈为高相关（r≥0.70）；（4）平昌冬奥会1 500 m男子第12、13圈，女子第13圈为高相关（r≥0.70），两者均从第9圈开始出现显著相关（P＜0.05）。结论：500 m出发位置尤为重要，高速滑行中稳固站位能力需求突出，冬奥会中对全程维持速度能力的要求逐步提高；冬奥会1 000 m与1 500 m比赛争夺有利位置战术的实施位置较以往更为靠后。  相似文献   

‘Who is zooming who’? A study of young PE-students in their figurations     

Stine Frydendal Nielsen  Lone Friis Thing 《Sport, Education and Society》2019,24(5):480-490

The article presents an analysis of 93 essays written in an upper secondary school context. The essays were collected in relation to a larger research project, which went on for 5 years in a Danish upper secondary school (2010–2015). The material represents both genders and the students are 15–17 years old. We deploy a theoretical framework taken from Norbert Elias’ notion on established-outsider relations [Elias, N., &; Scotson, J. L. (1994 [1965]). The established and the outsiders. London: SAGE] as well as his use of personal pronouns [Elias, N. (1978). What is sociology? London: Hutchinson, Elias, N. (2001). The society of individuals. New York: The Continuum International Publishing Group] in illustrating how people negotiate, position and navigate within figurational contexts [Elias, N. (1994 [1939]). The civilizing proces. Oxford: Blackwell.]. We do this in an effort to interpret how young people negotiate ‘we-I-relations’ when it comes to their sporting identity. Elias’ processual framework provides a tool for a much needed analysis of how young people continually orientate and develop their sense of selves. The web of human interdependencies and processes of change are key words when it comes to understanding the social practices and doings of the students’ constructions of self-steering. What social scientists may see as laziness and drop-outs of sports [Seippel, Ø. (2016). Prek, vekker og kjedelig? Trening og mening blant ungdom: 1985–2013. In Ø. Seippel, M. K. Sisjord, &; Å Strandbu (Eds.), Ungdom og Idrett. Oslo: Cappelen Damm Akademisk] can in the essays of students be analysed as a struggle for group connectedness and social inclusion in the classroom. The results of our research show that identity is a multiple concept and an ongoing process of emotional work [Elias, N. (1987). On human beings and their emotions: A process-sociological essay. Theory Culture Society, 4, 339–361], but also a power balance of playing and presenting what is imagined as the right performance as not being shamed as outcasts.  相似文献   

体育明星电视广告代言研究          下载免费PDF全文

孙文树 《河北体育学院学报》2019,33(1):28-33

以中央五频道2013—2015年间播放的电视广告为样本，采用内容分析法对体育明星的电视广告代言情况进行分析。结果显示：①体育明星进行电视广告代言的比例非常高，占27.66%；而在电视商业广告中，这一数字达到了36.05%，说明体育明星在电视广告中的流行程度非常高。②电视广告中体育明星的代言内容十分广泛，以汽车、公益、体育用品、酒类、赛事、媒体、企业形象、饮品等八类为主，并且体育相关产品的51.0%、非体育相关产品的25.7%都是由体育明星来代言的。③体育明星代言电视广告的数量与奥运会密切相关，企业选择体育明星作为代言人受体育明星的流行程度、匹配性、领域地位等因素的影响。④未来体育明星电视广告一定程度上会受移动广告的冲击，但是体育娱乐化也进一步拓宽了体育明星代言电视广告之路。  相似文献